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Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Musharraf party 'lagging in poll'

PPP supporters celebrate upon hearing preliminary results in Karachi, 18 February, 2008
The gunfire in Karachi on Monday night was celebratory
Pakistani opposition parties are well ahead in the country's elections, President Musharraf's allies say.

The ruling PML-Q would be consigned to the opposition if provisional results - from more than half of seats - were confirmed, said spokesman Tariq Azeem.

Supporters of opposition parties including Nawaz Sharif's PML-N and the PPP of the late Benazir Bhutto have been celebrating in the streets.

Mr Musharraf insists he will accept the result, regardless of who wins.

He is not standing in the parliamentary election himself, but a clear defeat of his supporters could herald struggles over his presidency, analysts suggest.

The poll took place on Monday, having been delayed following Ms Bhutto's assassination on 27 December.

High-profile victims

Unofficial and provisional results showed big gains for Mr Sharif and Ms Bhutto's parties.

The latest figures appeared to give both parties about 30% of the vote and more than 50 seats each, with Ms Bhutto's party slightly ahead.

The PML-Q was trailing a distant third, while smaller parties and independents also picked up seats.

Whosoever wins we should accept it - that includes myself
President Musharraf

"If the results are confirmed we will play the part of the opposition as effectively as we can," Mr Azeem told the AFP news agency.

Most official counts will not be declared until later on Tuesday.

But high-profile victims of the poll were reported to include party president Chaudry Shujaat Hussain and his close ally, Railways Minister Sheikh Rashid.

They were among the PML-Q losses in Punjab, the country's most populous province and a key electoral battleground.

Pakistani newspapers spoke of a "rout" of Mr Musharraf's allies, with The News proclaiming: "Democracy takes revenge."

"The result will be the voice of the nation and whosoever wins we should accept it - that includes myself," said Mr Musharraf.

Turnout

Celebrations were continuing in the streets of cities including Lahore, Rapalwindi and Karachi as news of early results trickled out.

At least 20 people are reported to have died in election-day violence, with the PPP reporting 15 of its members killed.

Vote counting in Pakistan, 18 February 2008
Most counts will be completed by Tuesday morning

There were also reports of missing ballot boxes.

But there was also widespread relief that there were none of the major bomb attacks which had marred the run-up to the election.

Fears of violence had dissuaded many of the country's 80 million eligible voters from leaving their homes, and voter turnout was estimated to be less than 40%. Close to half a million security personnel, including about 80,000 soldiers, had been deployed to quell any outbreak of fighting.

The wait for news of the next government is the start of fresh uncertainty in Pakistan, says the BBC's Jill McGivering in Karachi.

Even once the election results are clear, there will still be plenty of behind-the-scenes bargaining to come, she says.

Future in the balance

Polls suggest a fair vote is likely to result in a hung parliament, with none of the three biggest parties winning a majority, analysts suggest.

Attention will then turn on the PPP, and whether it chooses to join forces with pro-Musharraf parties, or with Mr Sharif's party.

Mr Sharif is staunchly opposed to the president, and if the two opposition parties jointly gain two-thirds of the seats, they may try to impeach Mr Musharraf, correspondents say.

Mr Musharraf stepped down as army chief late last year. He has ruled the country since seizing power in a coup in 1999.

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